Análisis Tristán Suárez vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2007 |
ARM
0 - 1
SUA
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2007 |
SUA
1 - 3
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 may. 2007 |
SUA
3 - 2
AND
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 may. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
SUA
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2007 |
SUA
3 - 2
CCO
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ago. 2007 |
MER
1 - 4
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2007 |
MER
1 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 may. 2007 |
MER
1 - 1
COM
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 may. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 2
MER
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 may. 2007 |
MER
2 - 1
ITA
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |