Análisis Tristán Suárez vs Deportivo Morón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2001 |
TEM
2 - 0
SUA
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2001 |
CAM
0 - 0
SUA
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 may. 2001 |
SUA
2 - 1
BRO
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2001 |
TEM
3 - 2
SUA
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2001 |
SUA
3 - 0
SAR
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2001 |
STM
2 - 0
MOR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2001 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARM
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2001 |
BER
1 - 0
MOR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAM
49%
24%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2001 |
TEM
2 - 1
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |