Análisis Tristán Suárez vs Sarmiento
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 1
SUA
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2011 |
SUA
0 - 2
EST
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 1
SUA
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 may. 2011 |
SUA
0 - 1
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 0
SUA
53%
27%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 jun. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 0
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAR
71%
20%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 may. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
MOR
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 may. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
SAR
51%
27%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 may. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 2
VSC
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |