Análisis Trofense vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
31.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.11
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 0
SPB
25%
29%
46%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 0
RIO
38%
31%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
TRO
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 2
MAR
30%
31%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 nov. 2008 |
GON
0 - 2
TRO
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 2
BEL
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAC
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
TRO
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIO
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |