Análisis Tudelano vs Aluvión
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 2005 |
TUD
4 - 1
CDB
58%
25%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2005 |
OBE
0 - 2
TUD
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
TUD
0 - 0
UDM
32%
29%
39%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
IZA
1 - 2
TUD
46%
27%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
TUD
1 - 0
HUA
56%
25%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 2005 |
MUR
0 - 0
ALU
55%
24%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2005 |
ALU
1 - 3
BUR
29%
28%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 2004 |
SUB
3 - 3
ALU
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 1
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 0
ALU
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |