Análisis Tudelano vs Aluvión
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.7%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.5
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+30%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
TUD
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 3
TUD
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
TUD
3 - 1
AOI
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 nov. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 1
TUD
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
TUD
11%
20%
69%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 2011 |
ALU
1 - 0
COR
44%
26%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2011 |
OBE
1 - 1
ALU
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 1
MUR
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
ALU
1 - 2
IZA
9%
19%
72%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
ALU
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |