Análisis UB Conquense vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 1986 |
UBC
3 - 0
AVI
52%
25%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
COL
3 - 2
UBC
35%
30%
35%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 may. 1986 |
VCF
3 - 1
UBC
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
UBC
3 - 1
MST
60%
23%
16%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 may. 1986 |
UBC
2 - 2
VCF
16%
24%
60%
|
32 | 77 | 45 | +1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 may. 1986 |
ALC
2 - 0
PEG
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1986 |
AVI
2 - 0
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 may. 1986 |
ALC
1 - 0
COL
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 1986 |
MST
1 - 0
ALC
49%
27%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
ALC
3 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |