Copa del Rey 1/128

Análisis UB Conquense vs CD Toledo

UB Conquense CD Toledo
53 ELO 37
8.5% Tilt 3.5%
5599º Ranking ELO general 6713º
174º Ranking ELO país 217º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
68%
UB Conquense
18.4%
Empate
13.7%
CD Toledo

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68%
Probabilidad gana
UB Conquense
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.7%
Probabilidad gana
CD Toledo
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Progresión del ELO

UB Conquense
CD Toledo
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

UB Conquense
UB Conquense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 may. 2009
UBC
UB Conquense
2 - 2
Lucena
LUC
64%
21%
15%
53 45 8 0
03 may. 2009
PUE
Puertollano
3 - 0
UB Conquense
UBC
39%
27%
34%
54 54 0 -1
26 abr. 2009
UBC
UB Conquense
0 - 2
AgD Ceuta
AGD
52%
25%
23%
56 56 0 -2
19 abr. 2009
CDL
CD Linares
0 - 1
UB Conquense
UBC
33%
27%
41%
55 49 6 +1
12 abr. 2009
UBC
UB Conquense
2 - 1
UD Melilla
MEL
52%
25%
23%
54 55 1 +1

Partidos

CD Toledo
CD Toledo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 may. 2009
CDT
CD Toledo
3 - 0
San Roque de Lepe
SRQ
46%
27%
28%
35 39 4 0
24 may. 2009
SRQ
San Roque de Lepe
0 - 0
CD Toledo
CDT
64%
20%
16%
35 39 4 0
17 may. 2009
CDT
CD Toledo
3 - 0
CD Azuqueca
AZU
66%
20%
14%
35 21 14 0
10 may. 2009
VIL
CP Villarrobledo
0 - 0
CD Toledo
CDT
20%
24%
56%
36 20 16 -1
26 abr. 2009
T66
Torpedo 66
0 - 6
CD Toledo
CDT
12%
23%
66%
35 16 19 +1