Análisis UB Conquense vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2009 |
PUE
3 - 0
UBC
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 2
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
CDL
0 - 1
UBC
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 1
UBC
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2009 |
LUC
4 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
G74
0 - 3
LUC
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 abr. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
ROQ
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
LUC
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
BAL
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |