Análisis U.B. Conquense B vs CD Toledo B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
U.B. Conquense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2004 |
T66
1 - 2
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
CON
2 - 0
TOR
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
CON
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
CON
1 - 1
UDS
30%
24%
45%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
GUA
3 - 0
CON
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Toledo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 5
ALM
34%
28%
38%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
TOL
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 0
HEL
24%
26%
50%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
SIG
2 - 2
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 3
MAN
47%
25%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |