Análisis UCAM Murcia vs Arroyo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
UCA
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
UCA
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 1
UCA
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2014 |
OVI
1 - 0
UCA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 0
RJA
27%
31%
42%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
LUC
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
ARR
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
BAL
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ARR
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |