Análisis UCAM Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 0
UCA
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2025 |
UCA
2 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2025 |
UCA
2 - 0
ORI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2025 |
UCA
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2025 |
UCA
2 - 2
ELD
18%
23%
60%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2025 |
MIN
4 - 0
LOR
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 ago. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2025 |
MAZ
0 - 3
LOR
16%
22%
63%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 1
ALC
21%
24%
56%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 jul. 2025 |
LOR
1 - 2
MUR
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |