Análisis UCAM Murcia vs Rayo Vallecano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2017 |
OVI
2 - 0
UCA
56%
26%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 1
CAD
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2017 |
REU
0 - 0
UCA
45%
30%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 mar. 2017 |
UCA
2 - 0
GET
22%
26%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
UCA
52%
28%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2017 |
RAY
1 - 1
CDT
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 3
RAY
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 2017 |
NUM
0 - 0
RAY
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 0
OVI
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 0
RAY
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |