Análisis UD España vs Larache
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.32
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
12.1%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.1%
9.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1949 |
BET
3 - 0
UDE
83%
11%
7%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1949 |
UDE
3 - 2
SFE
78%
12%
10%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1949 |
REC
4 - 1
UDE
81%
11%
8%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 1949 |
UDE
3 - 1
EME
83%
11%
7%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 1949 |
CAA
4 - 1
UDE
56%
19%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -3 |
Partidos
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1949 |
LCF
6 - 1
MER
85%
9%
6%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1949 |
MEL
5 - 1
LCF
77%
13%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 1949 |
BET
3 - 1
LCF
85%
9%
6%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 1949 |
LCF
2 - 6
SFE
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 sep. 1949 |
REC
4 - 0
LCF
84%
9%
7%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |