Análisis UD Fornacense vs AD Llerenense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+398%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2015 |
CPR
0 - 1
UDF
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
UDF
1 - 0
CAM
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
UDF
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
UDF
5 - 2
GIM
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2014 |
UCL
1 - 0
UDF
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2015 |
ADL
2 - 1
UCL
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
SPR
2 - 4
ADL
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
ADL
16%
19%
64%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 dic. 2014 |
ADL
1 - 0
OLY
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2014 |
CDB
4 - 4
ADL
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |