Análisis UD Mahón vs CE Alaior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.23
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.6%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1966 |
MNC
1 - 0
UDM
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1966 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATB
31%
26%
43%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | +2 |
| 02 ene. 1966 |
LAP
2 - 1
UDM
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 dic. 1965 |
UDM
3 - 0
IBI
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1965 |
UDM
5 - 0
MNC
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
CE Alaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ene. 1966 |
ALA
1 - 1
ADC
25%
25%
50%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 1966 |
SOL
1 - 0
ALA
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1966 |
ALA
1 - 1
PBL
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 1965 |
MNC
3 - 2
ALA
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1965 |
MNC
4 - 0
ALA
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |