Análisis UD Marinaleda vs Arahal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+69%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2009 |
UDT
3 - 2
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
REC
2 - 2
MAR
31%
29%
41%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
MON
1 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
BET
2 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
18%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2009 |
ARH
0 - 0
BET
42%
26%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
ARH
1 - 2
AGU
59%
22%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARH
40%
28%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
ARH
1 - 1
UTR
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 2
ARH
43%
27%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |