Análisis Montecarlo U19 vs EM El Olivar U19
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Montecarlo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2016 |
ZAR
5 - 0
MON
84%
10%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2016 |
MON
5 - 1
CNH
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2016 |
BAC
0 - 3
MON
29%
22%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 5
CFS
21%
22%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2016 |
CDV
1 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
EM El Olivar U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2016 |
EME
1 - 3
BOR
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2016 |
LLI
1 - 3
EME
24%
22%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2016 |
HUE
2 - 1
EME
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2016 |
EME
1 - 2
ADS
40%
23%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 2016 |
UDB
3 - 0
EME
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |