Tercera RFFPA Eliminatorias Ascenso Cuartos
Global 3-3
Análisis UD Sariego vs C. Hispano B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.51
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+41%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UD Sariego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2025 |
HIS
1 - 1
SAR
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
LLA
0 - 6
SAR
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2025 |
SAR
4 - 1
UAS
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2025 |
AGJ
0 - 1
SAR
9%
14%
78%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 mar. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
SAR
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
C. Hispano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 2025 |
HIS
1 - 1
SAR
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
LCM
1 - 2
HIS
12%
15%
74%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2025 |
HIS
4 - 1
BOS
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 2025 |
RAI
1 - 5
HIS
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2025 |
HIS
1 - 2
LRN
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |