Análisis Sax vs Rafal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
81.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 3
GUS
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 2
UDF
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 1
ASP
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
UDF
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 1
PRV
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 0
RAF
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 mar. 2024 |
RAF
1 - 1
SPD
67%
19%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 2024 |
ELD
1 - 2
RAF
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |