Análisis União Timbó vs Hermann Aichinger
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
10.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.26
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
União Timbó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2005 |
UTI
2 - 3
AVA
8%
18%
74%
|
7 | 65 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
CHA
4 - 0
UTI
89%
9%
2%
|
7 | 68 | 61 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2005 |
UTI
2 - 3
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | -1 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 0
UTI
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -1 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
UTI
1 - 2
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | 0 |
Partidos
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
CHA
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2005 |
HER
0 - 0
ITU
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 0
HER
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 2
HER
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |