Análisis Union de Aravaca vs Carranza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.7%
Win probability
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+30%
-54%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Union de Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2025 |
ALC
1 - 0
UAR
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2025 |
UAR
3 - 1
NBO
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 2025 |
PDM
2 - 1
UAR
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
UAR
1 - 2
ATL
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
UAR
3 - 2
STA
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 2
FTC
20%
21%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2025 |
FOM
4 - 0
CAR
38%
24%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 feb. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
HMA
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 4
SPB
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |