Análisis Unión Comercial vs Atlético de Lugones
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+61%
+48%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2012 |
LEN
3 - 1
COM
67%
20%
14%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
COM
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
AND
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 0
COM
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
COM
3 - 1
PIL
68%
18%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
URR
50%
25%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 0
RIB
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 1
ATL
28%
27%
46%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
SMA
68%
20%
13%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATL
31%
27%
42%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |