Análisis Unión Comercial vs Narcea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+46%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2009 |
DPT
1 - 1
COM
35%
24%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2009 |
COM
0 - 3
TAP
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
TIN
2 - 3
COM
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
COM
3 - 1
SMA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 2
COM
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2009 |
NAR
3 - 1
SIE
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 2009 |
MOS
3 - 1
NAR
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 2009 |
DPT
1 - 1
NAR
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
NAR
3 - 0
TAP
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
TIN
0 - 1
NAR
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |