Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-3
Análisis Unión Comercio vs Águilas Doradas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 ago. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
GAR
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 ago. 2015 |
HUA
3 - 0
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 ago. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 jul. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ago. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
AGU
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2015 |
SFE
0 - 0
AGU
58%
24%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 1
EQU
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 jul. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
AGU
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |