Análisis Unión Comercio vs Univ. San Martín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-27%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 3
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 3
GAR
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
SAM
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2015 |
CIE
3 - 0
SAM
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |