Análisis Unión Comercio vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jul. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
COB
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2012 |
LEO
7 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 jul. 2012 |
COM
0 - 3
GAL
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 jul. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
GAR
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 jul. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
UNI
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |