Análisis Unión Comercio vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
COM
29%
25%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2015 |
COM
3 - 2
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
HUA
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2015 |
HUA
2 - 0
COM
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 4
GAR
34%
27%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 mar. 2015 |
UTC
1 - 0
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
ALI
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |