Análisis Unión Española vs Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 2005 |
USF
2 - 1
UNI
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2005 |
UNI
0 - 1
SWA
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
COL
4 - 2
UNI
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2005 |
UNI
4 - 1
PUE
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 0
COB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2005 |
CON
2 - 0
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2005 |
CON
2 - 0
PAL
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 2005 |
USF
3 - 1
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |