Análisis Unión Magdalena vs Fortaleza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-28%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2012 |
REA
3 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
SFC
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2012 |
ONC
3 - 2
FOR
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
HUI
31%
25%
45%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACA
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |