Análisis Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAL
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2004 |
ENV
4 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2004 |
AME
3 - 0
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 0
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 oct. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 0
PER
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 3
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
ONC
1 - 0
CAR
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2002 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 nov. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
ENV
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |