Análisis Unión Santa Fe vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 2004 |
HUR
1 - 3
CAU
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2004 |
CAU
1 - 0
FER
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2004 |
ARG
3 - 1
CAU
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2004 |
CAU
1 - 0
JAN
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2004 |
GIM
2 - 2
CAU
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 2004 |
FER
2 - 1
DEF
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 1
JAN
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2004 |
CAI
2 - 0
DEF
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2004 |
DEF
0 - 1
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
DEF
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |