Análisis Unión Santa Fe vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
CAU
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2004 |
CAU
3 - 0
SUA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 jul. 2004 |
SUA
0 - 0
CAU
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 jun. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
CAU
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 may. 2004 |
CAU
0 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 3
RAC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 1
GIM
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 may. 2004 |
ALM
3 - 1
DEF
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 may. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2004 |
ARG
1 - 0
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |