Primera Chile - Clausura Playoffs Semifinal
Análisis U. Católica vs La Serena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2005 |
DLS
3 - 3
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
COB
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 1
BOC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 nov. 2005 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 2
UCO
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2005 |
DLS
3 - 3
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2005 |
COL
3 - 3
DLS
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2005 |
DLS
1 - 1
COL
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 0
DLS
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2005 |
SWA
0 - 0
DLS
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |