Análisis U. Católica vs Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jul. 2008 |
CDP
2 - 4
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
DLS
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 jul. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 4
UCO
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 1
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2008 |
CON
1 - 3
PAL
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2008 |
CSL
4 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
CON
2 - 4
CSD
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |