Conmebol Sudamericana Cuartos
Global 4-3
Análisis U. Católica vs Independiente
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2012 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2012 |
CSL
2 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
HUA
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
LAN
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 2012 |
LFC
1 - 2
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2012 |
ARG
0 - 1
IND
40%
29%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2012 |
IND
2 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |