Análisis Univ. Concepción vs Caracas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 4
UCO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 1
SWA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 feb. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
CRZ
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
DEP
0 - 5
UCO
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
UCO
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2004 |
CFC
1 - 0
TRU
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 1
CFC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2004 |
CFC
0 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 feb. 2004 |
CFC
4 - 0
EST
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
MIN
1 - 1
CFC
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |