Análisis Univ. Concepción vs CD Melipilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 2
OHI
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 2
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 3
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2007 |
CSL
2 - 2
UCO
57%
22%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 3
DLS
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2007 |
COB
5 - 1
CDM
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 2007 |
CDM
1 - 3
UCH
38%
28%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 2007 |
CDM
1 - 2
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 0
SWA
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |