Análisis Univ. Concepción vs La Serena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ago. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 2
SWA
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 2
UCO
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 2
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 jul. 2006 |
COB
1 - 0
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2006 |
HUA
2 - 0
DLS
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2006 |
DLS
3 - 0
UCH
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 ago. 2006 |
DLS
3 - 6
COB
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 jul. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 3
DLS
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 jul. 2006 |
SWA
2 - 0
DLS
38%
25%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |