Análisis Univ. Concepción vs Cobresal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
38%
26%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2012 |
CSL
2 - 2
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
UNI
6 - 1
CSL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 1
USF
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
CSL
3 - 3
IQU
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 nov. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
CSL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |