Análisis Univ. Concepción vs Palestino
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 3
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
COQ
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2006 |
UCO
5 - 1
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
HUA
27%
25%
49%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
NUB
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 2007 |
PAL
3 - 2
COQ
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 feb. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 2
PUE
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |