Análisis Univ. Concepción vs San Marcos Arica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+26%
+23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2000 |
1 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 1
NUB
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2000 |
MAG
3 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 2
ANT
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 may. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 2
DEP
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 1
USF
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2000 |
DEP
2 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 may. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 1
DLI
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2000 |
DLS
1 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSL
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |