Copa Chile Semifinal

Global 4-6

Análisis Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica

Univ. Concepción U. Católica
74 ELO 76
-4.3% Tilt 11.4%
2153º Ranking ELO general 1076º
27º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
42.6%
Univ. Concepción
25.4%
Empate
32%
U. Católica

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
Univ. Concepción
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
U. Católica
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

ELO52.954.556.157.759.36162.664.265.867.469.170.772.373.975.577.1-17.5%-15.3%-13.1%-10.9%-8.7%-6.5%-4.2%-2%0.2%2.4%4.6%6.8%9%11.2%13.5%15.7%17.9%20.1%22.3%24.5%
← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Univ. Concepción
+4%
-2%
U. Católica

Progresión del ELO

68º70º72º74º76º78ºNov .10Feb .11May .11Sep .11
Univ. Concepción
U. Católica
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Univ. Concepción
Univ. Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 oct. 2011
UCO
Univ. Concepción
0 - 0
Cobresal
CSL
56%
24%
20%
75 70 5 0
29 sep. 2011
OHI
O'Higgins
3 - 0
Univ. Concepción
UCO
42%
26%
32%
75 73 2 0
24 sep. 2011
UCO
Univ. Concepción
0 - 0
Palestino
PAL
53%
25%
21%
75 73 2 0
16 sep. 2011
ACS
Audax Italiano
2 - 1
Univ. Concepción
UCO
54%
23%
23%
75 77 2 0
10 sep. 2011
UCO
Univ. Concepción
0 - 0
Unión La Calera
ULC
61%
23%
16%
75 69 6 0

Partidos

U. Católica
U. Católica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 oct. 2011
UCO
U. Católica
0 - 2
Vélez Sarsfield
VEL
38%
26%
36%
76 85 9 0
01 oct. 2011
COB
Cobreloa
2 - 0
U. Católica
UCO
37%
26%
37%
77 73 4 -1
28 sep. 2011
UCO
U. Católica
0 - 1
Unión San Felipe
USF
65%
21%
14%
77 71 6 0
24 sep. 2011
SAN
Santiago Morning
3 - 2
U. Católica
UCO
35%
26%
38%
77 70 7 0
17 sep. 2011
NUB
Ñublense
2 - 0
U. Católica
UCO
27%
26%
47%
77 66 11 0