Análisis Univ. César Vallejo vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 3
VAL
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 1
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
VAL
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
SPC
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
CIE
4 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 1
BOL
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 1
SBO
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |