Primera Chile - Apertura Playoffs Cuartos
Análisis Univ de Chile vs Univ. Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+16%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2004 |
UCH
1 - 0
COQ
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2004 |
UCH
2 - 2
SWA
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
DEP
3 - 3
UCH
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2004 |
UCH
3 - 1
UCO
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2004 |
HUA
2 - 2
UCO
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 0
COB
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
ACS
0 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2004 |
UCH
3 - 1
UCO
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |