Análisis Univ de Chile vs Univ. Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 2
CSD
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2005 |
CSL
2 - 4
UCH
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
UCH
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 may. 2005 |
UCH
2 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 2
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2005 |
UCO
0 - 3
UCH
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 may. 2005 |
SWA
3 - 0
UCO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 2005 |
UCO
4 - 3
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |