Conmebol Sudamericana . Semifinal
Global 3-1
Análisis Univ de Chile vs Vasco da Gama
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
40.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
UCH
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 0
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
UCH
5 - 3
HUA
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
UCH
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 nov. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
AVA
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 nov. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAS
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |