Análisis Leones Negros vs CD Tapatío
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 2025 |
CDT
1 - 0
UDG
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2025 |
UDG
1 - 0
TAM
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 may. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 1
UDG
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 may. 2025 |
UDG
2 - 0
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 0
UDG
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 jun. 2025 |
CDT
1 - 0
UDG
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 0
CDT
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2025 |
CDT
4 - 0
UAT
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 2
CDT
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2025 |
CDT
1 - 1
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |