Análisis Univ. San Martín vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
41.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 1
SAM
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 3
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAM
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
AUR
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 1
ALI
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 3
ALI
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
HUA
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |