Copa Inca Perú . Semifinal
Global 4-5
Análisis Univ. San Martín vs Alianza Lima
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
38.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 1
SAM
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 1
CIE
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 2
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
HUA
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2015 |
COM
3 - 2
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 0
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 3
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |